The Decline in Homicides: Telling It My Way 
      November 26, 2007 
       Anyone wondering why the Police Commissioner of New York City is regarded
        as the influential man in law enforcement need go no farther than Friday’s
        front page of the New York Times and its article, headlined: “City
        Homicides Still Dropping, To Under 500. Lowest Toll in Decades.”
      Recent police commissioners, who have lowered the crime city’s
        crime rate, have been able to convey the story of their successes, in
        some cases by rewriting history, in others or by conveniently forgetting
        large slabs of it. 
       A decade ago, between 1994 and 1996, Police Commissioner Bill Bratton
        and Mayor Rudolph Giuliani convinced New York City’s generally
        pliant media that the decline in homicides — the bellwether crime
        that cannot be covered up or dummied down — was greater under them
        than at any other time in the department’s history. 
      They credited COMPSTAT, the revolutionary idea of Bratton’s top
        aide, the late, great Jack Maple. COMPSTAT, they said, had made commanders
        accountable by forcing them to track crime trends and pro-actively attack
        crime problems, not merely react as the NYPD had done for too many years..
       After Giuliani fired Bratton in 1996, the mayor and Bratton’s
        successor Howard Safir convinced the media that homicides were declining
        even faster under Safir than they had under Bratton. Giuliani began referring
        to Safir as “the greatest police commissioner in New York City’s
        history.” 
       In 2001, Giuliani and Safir’s successor Bernie Kerik touted the
        continued decline of homicides as evidence of Kerik’s prowess.
        Despite Kerik’s indictment earlier this month, Giuliani still cites
        the city’s lower homicide rate to justify his choice of Kerik for
        police commissioner. 
       Where does all this leave current commissioner Ray Kelly? Well, back
        in the early Giuliani years, Giuliani and Bratton mocked his crime-fighting
        efforts. 
      In 1990, under Giuliani’s predecessor David Dinkins, homicides
        had risen to 2245 and remained above 2000 for the next two years. Even
        after homicides began to fall in 1993 after Kelly had been commissioner
        for a year, Giuliani and Bratton’s top aides belittled Kelly’s
        philosophy of  “community policing.” They referred to it
        as “social work.” 
      One of the reasons Giuliani fired Kelly was his inability to explain
        how he would lower the crime rate. Kelly has never forgiven him. Nor
        has he forgiven anyone else for not stating, categorically and unequivocally,
        that it was under him that homicides in New York City began to decline..
       It took fourteen years but Kelly has finally lived to see his story
        told the way he wants it, and on the most influential piece of media
        real estate— the New York Times’ front page. Here from last
        Friday, is the Times’ interpretation of the falling homicide rate,
        which must make Kelly beam: 
      “Homicides began falling in the early 1990s, when Raymond W. Kelly
        first served as police commissioner, and plummeted further under subsequent
        commissioners. Mr. Kelly returned to serve under Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg
        in 2002, the first year there were fewer than 600 homicides. There were
        587 that year, down from 649 in the previous year.”