The Future: Here Are Some Predictions For 2009
       December 29, 2008 
      January. Facing $4.7  million in fines and 142 years in prison if convicted of 16 counts of fraud,  tax evasion and making false statements, former police commissioner Bernard  Kerik holds a news conference outside the White Plains federal courthouse,  where he declares, “Rudy Giuliani has deserted me. Joe Tacopina has betrayed  me. John Picciano has disappeared.” He then passes out business cards, which say  on the front, “Victim,” and on the back, “Bernard Kerik Legal Defense Fund,  Suggested Contribution: $75.”  
      February. Mayor  Michael Bloomberg and Police Commissioner Ray Kelly hold a 
        news conference to deny a report in this column that  Bloomberg was overheard calling Kelly “too rigid” and a “martinet.” Kelly also  denies he urged incoming Attorney General Eric Holder to move faster in approving  wiretaps on suspected terrorists than did his Republican predecessor, Michael  Mukasey. “And, contrary to what was suggested,” Kelly adds, “if the mayor replaces  me, I will not miss wearing my gold cufflinks and Charvet tie.” 
       March. Kelly welcomes the FBI’s new  head of the New York  office, Joseph Demarest, to One   Police Plaza,  announcing “a new era of cooperation between the NYPD and federal authorities.”  Standing next to him are newly promoted Assistant Chiefs Thomas Galati of the  Intelligence Division and James Waters of the Counter Terrorism Bureau. Galati apologizes  for delaying Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad at  Kennedy Airport in 2007 by conducting an unauthorized weapons check on his  entire delegation. “I realize now that this was the job of the Secret Service  and the State Department’s Diplomatic Security Service,” Galati says. “Not the NYPD.” Waters  apologizes for offending the FBI while praising an NYPD detective for the  capture of a radical Muslim cleric. “I mistakenly said, ‘Nobody is better than  the New York City  cops at this kind of thing,’” Waters says. “I now realize the FBI is just as  good.” 
       April. Demarest’s predecessor  Mark Mershon, who retired from the FBI in December, is seen on the island of St. Kitts, advising Prime Minister  Denzil L. Douglas on local gang problems. Mershon supposedly lined up his new  job during two trips to St. Kitts, while still head of the Bureau’s New York office. FBI  spokesman John Miller declines to say whether the Justice Department is  investigating whether Mershon had informed FBI superiors he was meeting with a  foreign head of state, although he adds, “This is just the kind of thing that  the Justice Department’s Inspector General Glen Fine loves to pursue.” Miller also  thanks Deputy Commissioner David Cohen for tipping off the Bureau to Mershon’s  St. Kitts excursions, saying, “If this is what cooperation between the NYPD and  the FBI entails, then I’m sure Ray Kelly is all for it.” 
       May. Rudy Giuliani  begins negotiations to host a radio talk show with Republican vice presidential  candidate Sarah Palin. The former mayor, who is considering a run for governor  and is positioning himself as the standard bearer of the far Republican right, professes  ignorance of the status of his son Andrew’s law suit against Duke University  for tossing him off the golf team. Alaska governor Palin, also positioning herself  as Giuliani’s rival for the far right’s support, professes ignorance of the whereabouts  of her pregnant 17-year-old daughter’s boyfriend, who was last spotted on a  trawler in the Bering Strait heading toward Siberia. 
      June. Ex-cop  turned city council member and possible state senator Hiram Monserrate accuses  Queens District Attorney Richard Brown of a double standard in charging him with  stabbing his girlfriend in the face with a broken glass. Monserrate points out  that Brown never charged Kerik’s former chief of staff John Picciano for sneaking  into his girlfriend’s apartment through her balcony, pulling her hair,  pushing her to the floor and threatening to shoot her in 1998. Brown’s  assistant Jack Ryan points out that, in 1998, the DA’s office lacked the  expertise of its newly appointed detective supervisor, retired NYPD Lieu. Pete  Martin. “Pete’s great at crime scenes,” says Ryan, “despite his line-of-duty disability.”  Asked to comment on Martin’s health, D.A. Brown says, “I am the District  Attorney of Queens County, not a physical therapist.”  
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      July. Federal  prosecutors seek a delay in Kerik’s trial, adding six more counts to his indictment,  meaning that, if convicted, he faces another 47 years in prison. At a news  conference outside the White Plains  courthouse, Kerik declares, “John Picciano’s disappearance has nothing to do  with Hiram Monserrate’s girlfriend.” Kerik then passes out new business cards, which  say on the front, “American Hero,” and on the back, “Minimum Contribution to the  Bernard Kerik Legal Defense Fund: $125.” Reached on the Outer Banks of North  Carolina where he is on the lam from creditors, Picciano says, “I said it  before and I’ll say it again. I am just a simple man with a few harmless  vices.” 
      August. Instead  of presenting evidence against police officer Richard Kern for allegedly using  his police baton to sodomize a man on a subway platform, Brooklyn District  Attorney Joe Hynes devotes his opening argument to praising Ray Kelly. “Some  people credit the Mollen Commission and the Knapp Commission before it with  stopping corruption,” says Hynes. “Others credit Frank Serpico. I credit Ray  Kelly.” Kelly’s spokesman, Paul Browne, denies Hynes is suffering from law  enforcement amnesia, a malady affecting district attorneys 70-years-old or  older who have served in their positions 20 years or more. Says Browne: “Look  at Morgenthau. He’s 98.” 
      September. Judith  Miller, the former New York Times reporter who wrote that Saddam Hussein  possessed weapons of mass destruction, then spent a few months in jail for protecting  indicted White House operative Scooter Libby, writes a magazine article called,  “Inside the Brain of David Cohen.” Citing “confidential police sources,” she  writes that Cohen “is studying a plan that will protect the city from  terrorists while promoting the Christmas spirit.” Cohen’s plan, Miller writes, originated  from a homeless man’s knocking on the door of Deputy Commissioner Richard  Falkenrath’s home in Riverdale to ask for a glass of water. Fearing he might be  part of a sleeper cell, Intelligence Division detectives locked him in a psych  ward for five weeks, then drove him to Chicago and left him with relatives. “Now,”  Miller writes, “Cohen is seeking to forego the psychiatric process and to transport  all arrested homeless men to relatives living at least 100 miles from the city.”  The plan, she quotes Cohen as saying, “can be especially effective around  Christmas, giving the men a renewed sense of family while lowering the December  crime rate.”  
      October. The Manhattan  Institute hosts an international conference entitled: “Seven Years of a  Corruption-Free Police Department. How Ray Kelly did it!” The keynote speaker  is Joe Hynes, who presents the first annual “NYPD Anti-Corruption Award” to Michael  Armstrong, the chairman of the Mayor’s Commissioner to Combat Police Corruption.  In his three years as chairman, Armstrong has not investigated any allegation  of police corruption, saying, “There is no need to investigate when the  department has a commissioner like Ray Kelly.”  
      November. Giuliani  and Sarah Palin finalize their talk show agenda. Asked about news reports concerning  her pregnant daughter’s missing boyfriend. Palin says, “No matter how far that  boy roams, he can never escape being part of our family.” Giuliani refuses to say  whether his daughter Caroline is speaking to him.  
      December. The day  his trial begins. Kerik stands outside the White Plains courthouse, singing “The  Star-Spangled Banner.” Suddenly a stretch limousine appears and out leaps John  Picciano. Two FBI agents whisk him into the courthouse through a side entrance.  Before vanishing, Picciano calls out to Kerik, “I don’t know how they found me,  boss.” His hand still on his heart, Kerik cries out, “Et tu, Pitch?” 
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