Predictions For  2012: Follow All Leads 
         January 2, 2012
          
        
         JANUARY. Declaring that reports of pervasive NYPD  spying on the city’s Muslim communities are “misguided instances of media  hype,” Mayor Michael Bloomberg hosts a “Meeting with Muslims” breakfast at  police headquarters with Police Commissioner Ray Kelly. Both Bloomberg and  Kelly assure guests that, in spying on Muslims, the NYPD “only follows leads.”  A teenager, wearing a t-shirt that reads, “I Am Also an American,” asks what specific  and credible lead the Intelligence Division followed in creating its secret pie  chart that lists the percentage breakdown and national origin of every Muslim  in the entire city. 
         
            FEBRUARY. Under the headline, “A pie  in your eye,” a Daily News editorial declares: “Anyone who doesn’t  think the NYPD should know the exact percentage breakdown and national origin of  every Muslim in the entire city ought to have his head examined.” 
         Claiming to act “in the interests of full disclosure,” the News then lists the percentage breakdown  and national origin of the Intelligence Division’s secret pie chart:  Afghanistan, 3% ; Iran, 5%; Syria and Lebanon, each 7%; Turkey, 8%; Egypt, 11%;  Pakistan, 21%; Bangladesh, 17%; Other  Arab, 17%; Other, 4%. 
         The editorial adds that the NYPD provided these confidential  percentages exclusively to the Daily News and concludes: “All this goes to  show is that if you play ball with the police department, the police department  will play ball with you.”
         
            MARCH. Bloomberg and Kelly hold a “Memorial Service of Appreciation” for the  late Robert Morvillo, one of three former prosecutors Kelly appointed more than  a year ago to investigate whether the NYPD intentionally failed to investigate certain  crimes and downgraded felonies to misdemeanors to keep the city’s crime  statistics low. 
         After the service, Deputy Commissioner for Public  Information Paul Browne is overhead telling Kelly that while Morvillo “was admittedly  a great New Yorker, the upside is that his death gives us an additional six  months breathing room before we have to issue a report.”
        
            APRIL.Commissioner Kelly appears at  Barnes and Noble to praise a new book by police historian Tom Reppetto: “Battleground New York: Countering Spies, Saboteurs  and Terrorists since 1861.” Reppetto’s thesis is that, after such crises as 9/11,  U.S. security agencies follow a four-stage cycle. In the first, they are caught  totally unprepared when the enemy blows up things. In the second, they ramp up  their forces and fight among themselves. In the third, they go wild, ignore the  laws and lock everybody up. In the fourth, they apologize, fire those  responsible for the abuses and promise it will never happen again — until the  next time. 
         Asked at the news conference at what stage the city is currently,  Reppetto answers, “Two.”
         
            MAY. Dissatisfied with the public’s reaction to his “Meeting with Muslims”  breakfast, Mayor Bloomberg hosts a “Meeting with Muslims” lunch at City Hall, again  with Commissioner Kelly. Again, he assures guests that in spying on Muslims the  NYPD “only follows leads.” A Muslim man wearing a t-shirt reading, “Is this how it began for Japanese-Americans in  WWII?” asks, “Where was the specific and credible lead that prompted the NYPD  to write on page 6 of a secret Intelligence Division document: “In excess of 250 mosques, their ethnic  orientation, leadership and group affiliations have been identified in NYC. Fifty-three  mosques have been assessed as mosques of concern. Twenty-four mosques have a  Salafi influence.” 
         Bloomberg is overhead asking Kelly, “What’s a Salafi?” Kelly  is overheard answering him: “Just say that  the NYPD is investigating and you can’t comment.”
         
            JUNE. Responding to the Salafi  question, a New York Post editorial declares: “How can any  sane person question what’s a Salafi? Hasn’t anyone attending the “Meeting with  Muslims” lunch heard of the 14 plots against New York City?”